Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.391994 1.580273 1.785813 2.027046 2.302669 2.608058 2.972497
2026-01-18 1.093206 1.346346 1.646961 2.031133 2.510318 3.089974 3.846899
2026-01-25 0.911167 1.186526 1.532998 2.002658 2.625407 3.426573 4.541531
2026-02-01 0.777374 1.058777 1.429768 1.957296 2.692511 3.687294 5.146276
2026-02-08 0.677051 0.958287 1.344207 1.916061 2.748185 3.924555 5.730782
2026-02-15 0.614629 0.900522 1.307237 1.932790 2.879381 4.272072 6.501999
2026-02-22 0.556534 0.841176 1.259495 1.924975 2.968416 4.560466 7.209280
2026-03-01 0.503293 0.782627 1.205537 1.899472 3.023701 4.797579 7.855685
2026-03-08 0.448051 0.714976 1.130201 1.831088 3.001134 4.905168 8.297057
2026-03-15 0.413155 0.675866 1.095328 1.822955 3.073361 5.169955 9.025869
2026-03-22 0.400349 0.671201 1.114970 1.905909 3.304905 5.721741 10.310830
2026-03-29 0.374774 0.642572 1.091812 1.912644 3.403520 6.050899 11.228245
2026-04-05 0.355336 0.625599 1.091808 1.969124 3.613633 6.631168 12.744390
2026-04-12 0.328528 0.593601 1.063546 1.973901 3.734232 7.070761 14.071189
2026-04-19 0.300379 0.556005 1.020915 1.946256 3.788480 7.388301 15.194818
2026-04-26 0.273414 0.517722 0.972857 1.902231 3.804256 7.630044 16.191777
2026-05-03 0.250026 0.483824 0.929510 1.862211 3.822362 7.876556 17.229639
2026-05-10 0.235578 0.465852 0.915029 1.878447 3.957831 8.381095 18.903966
2026-05-17 0.219956 0.443956 0.890496 1.870862 4.041086 8.782700 20.398874
2026-05-24 0.204120 0.420073 0.859559 1.846111 4.083440 9.098312 21.734706
2026-05-31 0.185896 0.389505 0.811871 1.779737 4.024567 9.177613 22.508266
2026-06-07 0.174591 0.372600 0.791471 1.771844 4.098804 9.573133 24.124945
2026-06-14 0.171567 0.373347 0.809153 1.852358 4.390139 10.519016 27.291678